Paper 2026/1341

A Modular Risk Assessment Module for Adaptive Cryptographic Selection in Q-OPSEC

Darlan Noetzold, Universidad de Salamanca
Jorge L. V. Barbosa, Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos
Juan F. De Paz, Universidad de Salamanca
Valderi R. Q. Leithardt, Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Universidad de Salamanca
Abstract

This paper presents RiskService, a modular risk assessment module integrated into the Q-OPSEC adaptive AI middleware for quantum cryptography. A synthetic dataset covering 58 features across nine groups, including behavioral, device, network, authentication, and LLM-derived signals, feeds a training pipeline evaluating six model families under class-imbalanced conditions. LightGBM achieves the best performance, with AUC-ROC of 0.9895, average precision of 0.9344, and Brier score of 0.0421 at threshold 0.60, with inference latency of 1.8ms. Deployment benchmarks across three hardware tiers confirm feasibility under constrained resources: quantized XGBoost runs in 54.2ms on the ESP32 with AUC-ROC of 0.9112, enabling a two-tier architecture where edge nodes perform preliminary screening and forward ambiguous events for full-precision regime determination. Calibrated risk scores govern the selection among classical TLS1.3, post-quantum, and hybrid key derivation paths in the Q-OPSEC cryptographic layer.

Metadata
Available format(s)
PDF
Category
Applications
Publication info
Preprint.
Keywords
adaptive cryptographyedge inferencefraud detectionpost-quantum securityrisk assessment
Contact author(s)
darlannoetzold @ usal es
jbarbosa @ unisinos br
fcofds @ usal es
valderi leithardt @ iscte-iul pt
History
2026-07-02: approved
2026-06-30: received
See all versions
Short URL
https://ia.cr/2026/1341
License
Creative Commons Attribution
CC BY

BibTeX

@misc{cryptoeprint:2026/1341,
      author = {Darlan Noetzold and Jorge L. V. Barbosa and Juan F. De Paz and Valderi R. Q. Leithardt},
      title = {A Modular Risk Assessment Module for Adaptive Cryptographic Selection in Q-{OPSEC}},
      howpublished = {Cryptology {ePrint} Archive, Paper 2026/1341},
      year = {2026},
      url = {https://eprint.iacr.org/2026/1341}
}
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